Substantial Republican gains are inevitable, with net Democratic losses now looking to be at least two dozen. At this point, GOP gains of 25-30 seats seem likely, though considerably larger gains in excess of 40 seats certainly seem possible.
We've moved 44 seats toward the Republicans and only 4 toward the Democrats.
Here are our latest House ratings.
#- Moved benefiting Democrats
* - Moved benefiting Republicans
Special Elections in italics
Pure Toss-Up (1 R, 13 D)
- AR 1 (Open; Berry, D)
- FL 24 (Kosmas, D) *
- IL 10 (Open; Kirk, R)
- IL 14 (Foster, D) *
- MI 1 (Open; Stupak, D)
- MI 7 (Schauer, D)
- NH 1 (Shea-Porter, D)
- NH 2 (Open; Hodes, D)
- NY 24 (Arcuri, D) *
- NV 3 (Titus, D) *
- PA 7 (Open; Sestak, D)
- PA 12 (Open; Murtha, D) *
- TN 8 (Open; Tanner, D)
- WA 3 (Open; Baird, D)
Toss-Up/Tilt Republican (0 R, 9 D)
- AL 2 (Bright, D)
- AR 2 (Open; Snyder, D) *
- FL 8 (Grayson, D)
- ID 1 (Minnick, D)
- IN 8 (Open; Ellsworth, D) *
- KS 3 (Open; Moore, D)
- MS 1 (Childers, D)
- VA 2 (Nye, D) *
- VA 5 (Perriello, D)
Lean Republican (3 R, 7 D)
- CA 3 (Lungren, R)
- CO 4 (Markey, D) *
- FL 25 (Open; M. Diaz-Balart, R) #
- LA 3 (Open; Melancon, D)
- MD 1 (Kratovil, D) *
- NM 2 (Teague, D) *
- NY 29 (Open; Massa, D) *
- OH 1 (Driehaus, D) *
- OH 15 (Kilroy, D) *
- WA 8 (Reichert, R)
Republican Favored (5 R, 1 D)
- CA 45 (Bono Mack, R)
- NE 2 (Terry, R)
- OH 12 (Tiberi, R)
- PA 6 (Gerlach, R) *
- PA 15 (Dent, R)
- TN 6 (Open; Gordon, D) *
Toss-Up/Tilt Democratic (0 R, 4 D)
- HI 1 (Open; Abercrombie, D) *
- ND A-L (Pomeroy, D) *
- SC 5 (Spratt, D) *
- WV 1 (Mollohan, D) *
Lean Democratic (1 R, 15 D)
- AZ 5 (Mitchell, D) *
- AZ 8 (Giffords, D) *
- DE -AL (Open; Castle, R) *
- IN 9 (Hill, D)
- IA 3 (Boswell, D) *
- MA 10 (Open; Delahunt, D) *
- MO 4 (Skelton, D)
- NJ 3 (Adler, D) *
- NY 1 (Bishop, D)
- NY 19 (Hall, D)
- OH 16 (Boccieri, D) *
- OH 18 (Space, D) *
- PA 4 (Altmire, D) *
- PA 11 (Kanjorski, D) *
- VA 9 (Boucher, D) *
- WI 7 (Obey, D) *
Democrat Favored (1 R, 19 D)
- CA 11 (McNerney, D)
- CO 3 (Salazar, D)
- CT 5 (Murphy, D)
- FL 22 (Klein, D) *
- IL 11 (Halvorson, D) *
- IN 2 (Donnelly, D) *
- LA 2 (Cao, R)
- NM 1 (Heinrich, D) *
- NY 13 (McMahon, D)
- NY 20 (Murphy, D)
- NY 23 (Owens, D) #
- NC 8 (Kissell, D)
- OH 13 (Sutton, D) *
- PA 3 (Dahlkemper, D) *
- PA 8 (Murphy, D) *
- PA 10 (Carney, D) *
- PA 17 (Holden, D)
- SD A-L (Herseth Sandlin, D)
- TX 17 (Edwards, D)
- WI 8 (Kagen, D)
Republican seats: 11
Democratic seats: 68
Dropped from the list:
MN 3 (Paulsen, R) *, MN 6 (Bachmann, R) *, OH 2 (Schmidt, R) *, CA 44 (Calvert, R) *, CA 47 (Sanchez, D) #, GA 8 (Marshall, D) #