NEW 2010 House Ratings
We reiterate our view that substantial Republican gains are inevitable and are increasing our target for most likely GOP gains from 25-30 seats to 28-33 seats. However, it is important to note that considerably larger Republican gains in excess of 39 seats are quite possible.
Here are our latest House ratings:
#= moved benefiting Democrats
* = moved benefiting Republicans
88 Total Seats in Play
12 Republican seats
76 Democratic seats
Pure Toss-Up (2R, 14D)
AL 2 (Bright, D) #
AZ 8 (Giffords, D) *
AR 1 (Open; Berry, D)
FL 2 (Boyd, D) *
HI 1 (Djou, R) *
IL 10 (Open; Kirk, R)
IN 9 (Hill, D) *
MI 7 (Schauer, D)
OH 16 (Boccieri, D) *
PA 3 (Dahlkemper, D) *
PA 7 (Open; Sestak, D)
SC 5 (Spratt, D) *
TN 8 (Open; Tanner, D)
TX 17 (Edwards, D) *
WA 3 (Open; Baird, D)
WV 1 (Open; Mollohan, D) *
Toss-Up/Tilt Republican (0 R, 12 D)
FL 8 (Grayson, D)
IN 8 (Open; Ellsworth, D)
MI 1 (Open; Stupak, D) *
MS 1 (Childers, D)
NV 3 (Titus, D) *
NH 1 (Shea-Porter, D) *
NH 2 (Open; Hodes, D) *
NY 24 (Arcuri, D) *
ND A-L (Pomeroy, D) *
PA 11 (Kanjorski, D) *
VA 2 (Nye, D)
VA 5 (Perriello, D)
Toss-Up/Tilt Democrat (0 R, 5 D)
IL 11 (Halvorson, D) *
IL 14 (Foster, D) #
NY 19 (Hall, D) *
SD A-L (Herseth Sandlin, D)
WI 7 (Open; Obey, D) *
Lean Republican (3 R, 6 D)
CA 3 (Lungren, R)
FL 24 (Kosmas, D) *
FL 25 (Open; M. Diaz-Balart, R)
KS 3 (Open; Moore, D) *
MD 1 (Kratovil, D)
NM 2 (Teague, D)
OH 1 (Driehaus, D)
OH 15 (Kilroy, D)
WA 8 (Reichert, R)
Lean Democrat (1 R, 16 D)
AZ 1 (Kirkpatrick, D) *
AZ 5 (Mitchell, D)
CA 11 (McNerney, D) *
DE A-L (Open; Castle, R)
GA 8 (Marshall, D) *
ID 1 (Minnick, D)
IN 2 (Donnelly, D) *
IA 3 (Boswell, D)
KY 6 (Chandler, D) *
MO 4 (Skelton, D)
NJ 3 (Adler, D)
NM 1 (Heinrich, D)
NY 1 (Bishop, D)
NC 8 (Kissell, D) *
OH 13 (Sutton, D) *
OH 18 (Space, D)
VA 9 (Boucher, D)
Republican Favored (5 R, 5 D)
AR 2 (Open; Snyder, D) *
CA 45 (Bono Mach, R)
CO 4 (Markey, D) *
LA 3 (Open; Melancon, D) *
NE 2 (Terry, R)
NY 29 (Vacant; Massa, D) *
OH 12 (Tiberi, R)
PA 6 (Gerlach, R)
PA 15 (Dent, R)
TN 6 (Open; Gordon, D)
Democrat Favored (1 R, 18 D)
CO 3 (Salazar, D)
CT 5 (Murphy, D)
FL 22 (Klein, D)
LA 2 (Cao, R)
MA 10 (Open; Delahunt, D) #
NY 13 (McMahon, D)
NY 20 (Murphy, D)
NY 23 (Owens, D)
OR 5 (Schrader, D) *
PA 4 (Altmire, D) #
PA 8 (Murphy, D)
PA 10 (Carney, D)
PA 12 (Critz, D) #
PA 17 (Holden, D)
TN 4 (Davis, D) *
TX 23 (Rodriguez, D) *
VA 11 (Connolly, D) *
WA 2 (Larsen, D) *
WI 8 (Kagen, D)
