Thursday, November 02, 2006

2006 Senate Ratings

For race-by-race analysis and explanation of the ratings, you must be a subscriber to the print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report. For a subscription form, click here.

Current Rothenberg Political Report projection: Democratic gains of 5-7 seats, and state and national dynamics favor Democrats netting six seats and winning control.

LIKELY TAKEOVER (2 R, 0 D)
  • DeWine (R-OH)
  • Santorum (R-PA)
LEAN TAKEOVER (4 R, 0 D)
  • Allen (R-VA)
  • Burns, (R-MT)
  • Chafee, (R-RI)
  • Talent (R-MO)
TOSS-UP (1 R, 1 D)
  • TN Open (Frist, R)
  • Menendez (D-NJ)
NARROW ADVANTAGE INCUMBENT PARTY (1 R, 1 D)
  • Kyl (R-AZ)
  • MD Open (D-Sarbanes)
CLEAR ADVANTAGE INCUMBENT PARTY (0 R, 3 D)
  • Cantwell (D-WA)
  • Stabenow (D-MI)
  • Nelson (D-NE)
CURRENTLY SAFE (7 R, 13 D)
  • Ensign (R-NV)
  • Hatch (R-UT)
  • Hutchison (R-TX)
  • Lott (R-MS)
  • Lugar (R-IN)
  • Snowe (R-ME)
  • Thomas (R-WY)
  • Akaka (D-HI)
  • Bingaman (D-NM)
  • Byrd (D-WV)
  • Carper (D-DE)
  • Clinton (D-NY)
  • Conrad (D-ND)
  • Feinstein (D-CA)
  • Kennedy (D-MA)
  • Kohl (D-WI)
  • Lieberman (D-CT)
  • Nelson (D-FL)
  • MN Open (D-Dayton)
  • VT Open (I-Jeffords)