Friday, January 18, 2008

2008 House Ratings

Here are our latest House ratings. Any seats not listed are currently considered to be at limited risk for the incumbent party. Democrats currently hold a 233-202 majority in the House. For our race-by-race analysis, you must subscribe to the print edition of the Report.

REVISED March 6: Change Illinois 14 Special to Toss-Up


PURE TOSS-UP (6 R, 5 D)
  • AZ 1 (Open; Renzi, R)
  • CA 11 (McNerney, D)
  • FL 16 (Mahoney, D)
  • IL 11 (Open; Weller, R)
  • IL 14 (Open; Hastert, R)
  • KS 2 (Boyda, D)
  • MN 3 (Open; Ramstad, R)
  • NM1 (Open; Wilson, R)
  • OH 15 (Open; Pryce, R)
  • PA 10 (Carney, D)
  • TX 22 (Lampson, D)
TOSS-UP/TILT REPUBLICAN (6 R, 0 D)
  • AK A-L (Young, R)
  • NJ 3 (Open; Saxton, R)
  • NJ 7 (Open; Ferguson, R)
  • NC 8 (Hayes, R)
  • OH 16 (Open; Regula, R)
  • WA 8 (Reichert, R)
TOSS-UP/TILT DEMOCRATIC (0 R, 2 D)
  • GA 8 (Marshall, D)
  • NH 1 (Shea-Porter, D)
LEAN REPUBLICAN (12 R, 0 D)
  • CT 4 (Shays, R)
  • FL 13 (Buchanan, R)
  • FL 24 (Feeney, R)
  • IL 10 (Kirk, R)
  • MI 7 (Walberg, R)
  • MI 9 (Knollenberg, R)
  • MO 6 (Graves, R)
  • NV 3 (Porter, R)
  • NY 25 (Walsh, R)
  • NY 29 (Kuhl, R)
  • OH 1 (Chabot, R)
  • OH 2 (Schmidt, R)
LEAN DEMOCRATIC (0 R, 12 D)
  • AZ 5 (Mitchell, D)
  • AZ 8 (Giffords, D)
  • IL 8 (Bean, D)
  • IN 9 (Hill, D)
  • KS 3 (Moore, D)
  • MN 1 (Walz, D)
  • NY 20 (Gillibrand, D)
  • OH 18 (Space, D)
  • PA 4 (Altmire, D)
  • PA 11 (Kanjorski, D)
  • TX 23 (Rodriguez, D)
  • WI 8 (Kagen, D)
REPUBLICAN FAVORED (11 R, 0 D)
  • CA 4 (Open; Doolittle, R)
  • CO 4 (Musgrave, R)
  • FL 8 (Keller, R)
  • IL 6 (Roskam, R)
  • LA 6 (Open; Baker, R)
  • MN 6 (Bachmann, R)
  • NM 2 (Open; Pearce, R)
  • NY 13 (Fosella, R)
  • PA 6 (Gerlach, R)
  • PA 18 (Murphy, R)
  • WV 2 (Capito, R)
DEMOCRAT FAVORED (0 R, 7 D)
  • CT 5 (Murphy, D)
  • GA 12 (Barrow, D)
  • IN 2 (Donnelly, D)
  • IN 7 (Open; Carson, D)
  • IN 8 (Ellsworth, D)
  • PA 7 (Sestak, D)
  • PA 8 (Murphy, D)