2008 House Ratings

Here are our latest House ratings. Any seats not listed are currently considered to be at limited risk for the incumbent party. For our race-by-race analysis, you must subscribe to the print edition of the Report.

We've updated the chart to reflect Democrat Don Cazayoux's win in the Louisiana 6 special election, making him the incumbent in November. But we're keeping the race as a Toss-up for now until we know more about the national environment and the effect of the presidential race, the potential independent bid by African-American state Rep. Michael Jackson (D), and whether or not Woody Jenkins will carry the GOP banner in November.

PURE TOSS-UP (8 R, 7 D)

• AL 5 (Open; Cramer, D)
  
• AZ 1 (Open; Renzi, R)
• CA 11 (McNerney, D)
• FL 16 (Mahoney, D)
• KS 2 (Boyda, D)
• LA 6 (Cazayoux, D)
  
• MN 3 (Open; Ramstad, R)
• MS 1 (Open; Wicker, R)
• NJ 7 (Open; Ferguson, R)
• NY 26 (Open; Reynolds, R)
  
• NM1 (Open; Wilson, R)
• OH 15 (Open; Pryce, R)
• OH 16 (Open; Regula, R)
  
• OR 5 (Open; Hooley, D)
  
• PA 10 (Carney, D)
  

TOSS-UP/TILT REPUBLICAN (6 R, 1 D)

• AK A-L (Young, R)
• IL 10 (Kirk, R)
• LA 4 (Open; McCrery, R)
• NY 29 (Kuhl, R)
  
• NC 8 (Hayes, R)
• TX 22 (Lampson, D)
  
• WA 8 (Reichert, R)
  

TOSS-UP/TILT DEMOCRATIC (1 R, 2 D)

• GA 8 (Marshall, D)
• NH 1 (Shea-Porter, D)
• NJ 3 (Open; Saxton, R)
  

LEAN REPUBLICAN (8 R, 0 D)

• CT 4 (Shays, R)
• FL 24 (Feeney, R)
• MI 7 (Walberg, R)
• MI 9 (Knollenberg, R)
• MO 6 (Graves, R)
• NV 3 (Porter, R)
• OH 1 (Chabot, R)
• OH 2 (Schmidt, R)

LEAN DEMOCRATIC (3 R, 8 D)

• AZ 5 (Mitchell, D)
• AZ 8 (Giffords, D)
• IL 11 (Open; Weller, R)
  
• IN 9 (Hill, D)
• KY 3 (Yarmuth, D)
  
• KS 3 (Moore, D)
• MN 1 (Walz, D)
• NY 25 (Open; Walsh, R)
  
• PA 4 (Altmire, D)
• VA 11 (Open; Davis, R)
  
• WI 8 (Kagen, D)

REPUBLICAN FAVORED (13 R, 0 D)

• AL 2 (Open; Everett, R)
  
• CA 4 (Open; Doolittle, R)
• CO 4 (Musgrave, R)
• FL 8 (Keller, R)
• FL 13 (Buchanan, R)
  
• IL 6 (Roskam, R)
• KY 2 (Open; Lewis, R)
  
• MN 6 (Bachmann, R)
• NM 2 (Open; Pearce, R)
  
• NY 13 (Fosella, R)
• PA 6 (Gerlach, R)
  
• PA 18 (Murphy, R)
• WV 2 (Capito, R)
  

DEMOCRAT FAVORED (0 R, 6 D)

• IL 8 (Bean, D)
• IL 14 (Foster, D)
• NY 20 (Gillibrand, D)
• OH 18 (Space, D)
  
• PA 8 (Murphy, D)
• PA 11 (Kanjorski, D)