2008 House Ratings

Here are our latest House ratings. Our latest estimate is a Democratic gain of 25-30 seats.

Any seats not listed are currently considered to be at limited risk for the incumbent party. For our race-by-race analysis, you must subscribe to the print edition of the Report.

# = Moved benefiting Democrats
* = Moved benefiting Republicans
^ = Newly added

PURE TOSS-UP (7 R, 5 D)

• AL 5 (Open; Cramer, D)
• CT 4 (Shays, R) #
• FL 16 (Mahoney, D) *
  
• FL 21 (L. Diaz-Balart, R)
  
• LA 6 (Cazayoux, D) #
  
• MI 7 (Walberg, R) #
• NH 1 (Shea-Porter, D)
• NM 2 (Open; Pearce, R) #
  
• NJ 7 (Open; Ferguson, R)
• OH 1 (Chabot, R) #
  
• OH 15 (Open; Pryce, R)
• PA 11 (Kanjorski, D) *
  

TOSS-UP/TILT REPUBLICAN (10 R, 0 D)

• AL 2 (Open; Everett, R) #
  
• FL 25 (M. Diaz-Balart, R) #
• IL 10 (Kirk, R) #
  
• KY 2 (Open; Lewis, R) #
• LA 4 (Open; McCrery, R)
• MD 1 (Open; Gilchrest, R) #
  
• MO 9 (Open; Hulshof, R) #
  
• NY 26 (Open; Reynolds, R)
• VA 2 (Drake, R) #
  
• WA 8 (Reichert, R)

TOSS-UP/TILT DEMOCRATIC (10 R, 4 D)

• CA 11 (McNerney, D)
• CO 4 (Musgrave, R)
• FL 8 (Keller, R) #
  
• GA 8 (Marshall, D)
• IL 11 (Open; Weller, R)
  
• KS 2 (Boyda, D)
  
• MI 9 (Knollenberg, R) #
  
• MN 3 (Open; Ramstad, R) #
  
• NJ 3 (Open; Saxton, R)
• NM1 (Open; Wilson, R) #
  
• NY 29 (Kuhl, R) #
  
• NC 8 (Hayes, R) #
  
• PA 3 (English, R) #
  
• PA 10 (Carney, D) #
  

LEAN REPUBLICAN (4 R, 1 D)

• CA 4 (Open; Doolittle, R) #
  
• ID 1 (Sali, R) #
  
• MO 6 (Graves, R)
• OH 2 (Schmidt, R)
• TX 22 (Lampson, D)

LEAN DEMOCRATIC (5 R, 2 D)

• AZ 1 (Open; Renzi, R) #
  
• FL 24 (Feeney, R) #
  
• NV 3 (Porter, R) #
• OH 16 (Open; Regula, R) #
• PA 4 (Altmire, D)
• VA 11 (Open; Davis, R)
• WI 8 (Kagen, D) #
  

REPUBLICAN FAVORED (9 R, 0 D)

• AZ 3 (Shadegg, R) ^
  
• CA 46 (Rohrabacher, R) ^
  
• FL 13 (Buchanan, R)
• IL 6 (Roskam, R)
• MN 6 (Bachmann, R)
• NE 2 (Terry, R) ^
  
• PA 6 (Gerlach, R)
  
• WV 2 (Capito, R)
• WY A-L (Open; Cubin, R) ^
  

DEMOCRAT FAVORED (3 R, 6 D)

• AK A-L (Young, R)
  
• AZ 5 (Mitchell, D) #
  
• AZ 8 (Giffords, D) #
  
• IN 9 (Hill, D)
  
• KY 3 (Yarmuth, D) #
  
• MS 1 (Childers, D)
  
• NY 13 (Open; Fossella, R)
  
• NY 25 (Open; Walsh, R)
• OR 5 (Open; Hooley, D) #
  

Dropped :
IL 14 (Foster, D) #,
KS 3 (Moore, D) #,
NY 20 (Gillibrand, D) #