Tuesday, December 08, 2009

TN 8 Moved to Toss-Up

Cong. John Tanner's (D) retirement in Tennessee creates another open seat and another good GOP opportunity. Republicans hope that Tanner's decision, along with Kansas Cong. Dennis Moore's retirement and Cong. Charlie Melancon's decision to run for the U.S. Senate, is the beginning of a larger trend. Tennessee's 8th District is competitive and by no means a gimme for the Republicans. But for now, the seat vaults from Currently Safe to Toss-Up.

Here are our latest House ratings.
#- Moved benefiting Democrats
* - Moved benefiting Republicans

Pure Toss-Up (2 R, 15 D)
  • AL 2 (Bright, D)
  • FL 8 (Grayson, D)
  • ID 1 (Minnick, D)
  • IL 10 (Open; Kirk, R)
  • KS 3 (Open; Moore, D)
  • MD 1 (Kratovil, D)
  • MS 1 (Childers, D)
  • NH 1 (Shea-Porter, D)
  • NH 2 (Open; Hodes, D)
  • NM 2 (Teague, D)
  • NY 23 (Owens, D)
  • OH 1 (Driehaus, D)
  • OH 15 (Kilroy, D)
  • PA 6 (Open; Gerlach, R)
  • PA 7 (Open; Sestak, D)
  • TN 8 (Open; Tanner, D) *
  • VA 5 (Perriello, D)
Toss-Up/Tilt Republican (1 R, 1 D)
  • LA 3 (Open; Melancon, D)
  • WA 8 (Reichert, R)
Toss-Up/Tilt Democratic (0 R, 4 D)
  • CO 4 (Markey, D)
  • FL 24 (Kosmas, D)
  • IL 14 (Foster, D)
  • MI 7 (Schauer, D)

Lean Republican (2 R, 0 D)
  • CA 3 (Lungren, R)
  • CA 44 (Calvert, R)
Lean Democratic (0 R, 3 D)
  • AL 5 (Griffith, D)
  • NY 24 (Arcuri, D)
  • NY 29 (Massa, D)
Republican Favored (9 R, 0 D)
  • AK A-L (Young, R)
  • CA 45 (Bono Mack, R)
  • MI 11 (McCotter, R)
  • MN 3 (Paulsen, R)
  • MN 6 (Bachmann, R)
  • NE 2 (Terry, R)
  • OH 2 (Schmidt, R)
  • OH 12 (Tiberi, R)
  • PA 15 (Dent, R)
Democrat Favored (2 R, 11 D)
  • AZ 5 (Mitchell, D)
  • CA 47 (Sanchez, D)
  • DE A-L (Open; Castle, R)
  • GA 8 (Marshall, D)
  • LA 2 (Cao, R)
  • MO 4 (Skelton, D)
  • NY 19 (Hall, D)
  • NY 20 (Murphy, D)
  • NC 8 (Kissell, D)
  • OH 18 (Space, D)
  • PA 10 (Carney, D)
  • TX 17 (Edwards, D)
  • VA 2 (Nye, D)
Total seats in play: 50
Republican seats: 16
Democratic seats: 34