Thursday, November 02, 2006

2006 Gubernatorial Ratings

For race-by-race analysis and explanation of the ratings, you must be a subscriber to the print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report. For a subscription form, click here. Republicans currently hold a 28-22 advantage in governorships nationwide.

Current Rothenberg Political Report projection: Democratic gains of 7-9 governorships.

LIKELY TAKEOVER (5 R, 0 D)
  • AR Open (R-Huckabee)
  • CO Open (R-Owens)
  • MA Open (R-Romney)
  • NY Open (R-Pataki)
  • OH Open (R-Taft)
LEAN TAKEOVER (1 R, 0 D)
  • Ehrlich (R-MD)
TOSS-UP (2 R, 1 D)
  • Doyle (D-WI)
  • Pawlenty (R-MN)
  • NV Open (R-Guinn)
NARROW ADVANTAGE INCUMBENT PARTY (3 R, 2 D)
  • Carcieri (R-RI)
  • Kulongoski (D-OR)
  • AK Open (R-Murkowski)
  • ID Open (R-Risch)
  • IA Open (D-Vilsack)
CLEAR ADVANTAGE INCUMBENT PARTY (3 R, 3 D)
  • Baldacci (D-ME)
  • Blagojevich (D-IL)
  • Granholm (D-MI)
  • Perry (R-TX)
  • FL Open (R-Bush)
CURRENTLY SAFE (9 R, 8 D)
  • Douglas (R-VT)
  • Heineman (R-NE)
  • Lingle (R-HI)
  • Perdue (R-GA)
  • Rell (R-CT)
  • Riley (R-AL)
  • Rounds (R-SD)
  • Sanford (R-SC)
  • Schwarzenegger (R-CA)
  • Bredesen (D-TN)
  • Freudenthal (D-WY)
  • Henry (D-OK)
  • Lynch (D-NH)
  • Napolitano (D-AZ)
  • Rendell (D-PA)
  • Richardson (D-NM)
  • Sebelius (D-KS)