Tuesday, November 03, 2009

New Print Edition: 2010 Senate Overview

The October 30, 2009 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers.

The print edition of the Report comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as updated House and Senate ratings, and coverage of the gubernatorial races nationwide. To subscribe, simply click on the Google checkout button on the website or send a check.

Here is a brief preview of the introduction to this edition:

Senate Overview – The Lay of the Land

With the landscape changing noticeably over the summer, Democrats can no longer assume that they will have a net gain of seats in next year’s midterm elections. Of the 13 Senate seats now regarded as seriously “in play,” seven of them are currently held by Democrats.

The candidacies of GOPers Mark Kirk (IL) and Mike Castle (DE) put into play races that ordinarily wouldn’t draw any attention. And recent GOP candidates in Nevada, Arkansas and Colorado make those contests worth watching. Democrats still have a half-dozen GOP-held seats to shoot at, but the national shift has also diminished their prospects in those states as well.

Three months ago, we wrote that Democratic Senate gains “in the order of 2-4 seats certainly seem reasonable.” Gains of that magnitude are still possible, of course, but the most likely outcome is somewhere between a Republican gain of two seats and a Democratic gain of two seats.

Subscribers to the print edition get a state-by-state breakdown and most recent polling in every Senate race.