New Print Edition: Senate Overview

Subscribers already have the April 11, 2010 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report, but here is the introduction to this issue:

Senate Overview – The Lay of the Land

Democrats and Republicans are each defending 18 seats going into the fall elections, but the national landscape has tilted the battlefield dramatically to the Republicans’ advantage. If the focus in November is on unemployment and the failure of the Obama Administration to handle big issues (e.g., the economy, the Gulf oil leak and foreign policy problems), Democrats will find their Senate seats falling like dominoes. If they can turn these races into local contests and choices between the lesser of two evils, they can minimize their losses.

Republican prospects in two or three states seem to be improving enough so that party strategists can argue that at least ten Democratic seats are in play. Realistically, however, Republicans are still short of the 10-seat gain they would need to flip the Senate in November. For now, we see no reason to revise our earlier outlook. The GOP is most likely to net 5 to7 Senate seats, with an 8-seat gain certainly possible. Additional Democratic losses would depend on whether Washington, Wisconsin and California become more competitive. This means Democrats would retain control of the Senate, but at a dramatically reduced level.


Subscribers get state-by-state analysis and recent polling for each race.

The print edition of the Report comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as updated House and Senate ratings, and coverage of the gubernatorial races nationwide. To subscribe, simply click on the Google checkout button on the website or send a check.

New Print Edition: Pennsylvania 15 & Nevada 3

Subscribers already have the May 25, 2010 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report, but here are excerpts from the introduction to the two stories in this issue:

Pennsylvania 15: Difference of Opinion
By Nathan L. Gonzales

There may not be a race this cycle with such a dramatic difference of opinion between the two parties.

Cong. Charlie Dent is a rare Republican who represents a district that both Barack Obama and John Kerry carried in their presidential races. But even with the wind blowing in their faces this cycle, Democrats believe Bethlehem Mayor John Callahan (D) is the perfect candidate to take over Pennsylvania’s 15th District.

On the other hand, Dent knows he’s a target and will be ready for the race. And even though Republican strategists are taking the race seriously, they don’t believe it will be particularly close in the end.

Subscribers get the full story including the Lay of the Land, candidate bios, their consulting teams and a breakdown of the general election.


Nevada 3: Welcome to Paradise
By Nathan L. Gonzales

If you’re a Democratic incumbent who was elected in a competitive district last cycle with less than 50% of the vote, you’re almost guaranteed to be a target this year. Nevada Cong. Dina Titus (D) fits the bill perfectly.

Subscribers get the full story including the Lay of the Land, candidate bios, their consulting teams and a breakdown of the general election.

The print edition of the Report comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as updated House and Senate ratings, and coverage of the gubernatorial races nationwide. To subscribe, simply click on the Google checkout button on the website or send a check.

New Print Edition: Nevada Senate & Indiana Senate

Subscribers already have the May 10, 2010 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report, but here are excerpts from the introduction to the two stories in this issue:

Nevada Senate: Know When to Fold ’Em
By Nathan L. Gonzales

Democrats are in danger of losing their second Senate majority leader in a decade.

Republicans knocked off South Dakota Sen. Tom Daschle (D) in 2004, but they did it with a popular former congressman who had previously been elected statewide. This year in Nevada, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D) is stuck in the polls, but his Republican opponents are anything but top tier.

But that may not matter.

Subscribers get the full story including the Lay of the Land, candidate bios and a breakdown of the GOP primary and general election.

Indiana Senate: New Sheriff in Town?
By Nathan L. Gonzales

Democrats weren’t supposed to be worried about Indiana this year, since Sen. Evan Bayh (D) looked like a sure bet for reelection initially, even with a deteriorating national political environment.

But then Bayh shocked the political world by announcing his retirement, leaving Democrats scrambling to find a replacement and a difficult open seat to defend.

Last week, Republicans nominated former senator and former ambassador Dan Coats, while Democrats have coalesced behind Cong. Brad Ellsworth, a former sheriff with a record of winning in a conservative Congressional district.

Even though Ellsworth is probably the Democrats’ best candidate and party strategists are confident that Coats’s resume after leaving office will be too much for Hoosiers to stomach, it’s simply a terrible cycle for Democrats to run in, particularly in a Republican-leaning state like Indiana.

Subscribers get the full story including the Lay of the Land, candidate bios, their consulting teams and a breakdown of the general election.

The print edition of the Report comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as updated House and Senate ratings, and coverage of the gubernatorial races nationwide. To subscribe, simply click on the Google checkout button on the website or send a check.

New Print Edition: Arkansas Senate & South Carolina 5

Subscribers already have the April 23, 2010 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report, but here are excerpts from the introduction to the two stories in this issue:


Arkansas Senate: One Big (Not So Happy) Family
By Nathan L. Gonzales

Republicans couldn’t even get a candidate to run for the U.S. Senate against Mark Pryor (D) last cycle, but this year, a half-dozen Republicans are vying for the right to take on Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), who has a primary of her own from the lieutenant governor.

Oh what a difference two years make.

Subscribers get the full story including the Lay of the Land, candidate bios and a breakdown of the primary and general elections.

South Carolina 5: Challenging the Chair
By Nathan L. Gonzales

South Carolina has received plenty of attention after its governor hiked the Appalachian Trail and ended up in Argentina with his girlfriend. But few people may realize that a long-time Democratic congressman could lose reelection.

John Spratt (D) has been in Congress for almost three decades, and he faces an unusually tough test this year. Republicans have rallied behind state Sen. Mick Mulvaney, but he’ll have to run an excellent campaign in order to ride the GOP wave to victory.

Subscribers get the full story including the Lay of the Land, candidate bios, their consulting teams and a breakdown general elections.

The print edition of the Report comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as updated House and Senate ratings, and coverage of the gubernatorial races nationwide. To subscribe, simply click on the Google checkout button on the website or send a check.

New House Ratings: 44 Seats Moved Toward GOP

We are still seven months until the midterm elections, so there is at least some possibility that the landscape could shift or that Democratic attacks on the GOP could keep Republican gains down to a minimum.

Substantial Republican gains are inevitable, with net Democratic losses now looking to be at least two dozen. At this point, GOP gains of 25-30 seats seem likely, though considerably larger gains in excess of 40 seats certainly seem possible.

We've moved 44 seats toward the Republicans and only 4 toward the Democrats.

Here are our latest House ratings.
#- Moved benefiting Democrats
* - Moved benefiting Republicans
Special Elections in italics

Pure Toss-Up (1 R, 13 D)

• AR 1 (Open; Berry, D)
• FL 24 (Kosmas, D) *
  
• IL 10 (Open; Kirk, R)
• IL 14 (Foster, D) *
  
• MI 1 (Open; Stupak, D)
  
• MI 7 (Schauer, D)
• NH 1 (Shea-Porter, D)
• NH 2 (Open; Hodes, D)
• NY 24 (Arcuri, D) *
• NV 3 (Titus, D) *
  
• PA 7 (Open; Sestak, D)
• PA 12 (Open; Murtha, D) *
  
• TN 8 (Open; Tanner, D)
• WA 3 (Open; Baird, D)

Toss-Up/Tilt Republican (0 R, 9 D)

• AL 2 (Bright, D)
• AR 2 (Open; Snyder, D) *
  
• FL 8 (Grayson, D)
• ID 1 (Minnick, D)
• IN 8 (Open; Ellsworth, D) *
  
• KS 3 (Open; Moore, D)
• MS 1 (Childers, D)
• VA 2 (Nye, D) *
  
• VA 5 (Perriello, D)

Lean Republican (3 R, 7 D)

• CA 3 (Lungren, R)
• CO 4 (Markey, D) *
  
• FL 25 (Open; M. Diaz-Balart, R) #
  
• LA 3 (Open; Melancon, D)
• MD 1 (Kratovil, D) *
• NM 2 (Teague, D) *
• NY 29 (Open; Massa, D) *
  
• OH 1 (Driehaus, D) *
• OH 15 (Kilroy, D) *
  
• WA 8 (Reichert, R)
  

Republican Favored (5 R, 1 D)

• CA 45 (Bono Mack, R)
• NE 2 (Terry, R)
• OH 12 (Tiberi, R)
• PA 6 (Gerlach, R) *
  
• PA 15 (Dent, R)
• TN 6 (Open; Gordon, D) *
  

Toss-Up/Tilt Democratic (0 R, 4 D)

• HI 1 (Open; Abercrombie, D) *
• ND A-L (Pomeroy, D) *
• SC 5 (Spratt, D) *
• WV 1 (Mollohan, D) *
  

Lean Democratic (1 R, 15 D)

• AZ 5 (Mitchell, D) *
  
• AZ 8 (Giffords, D) *
• DE -AL (Open; Castle, R) *
  
• IN 9 (Hill, D)
• IA 3 (Boswell, D) *
  
• MA 10 (Open; Delahunt, D) *
  
• MO 4 (Skelton, D)
• NJ 3 (Adler, D) *
• NY 1 (Bishop, D)
• NY 19 (Hall, D)
• OH 16 (Boccieri, D) *
• OH 18 (Space, D) *
• PA 4 (Altmire, D) *
• PA 11 (Kanjorski, D) *
• VA 9 (Boucher, D) *
• WI 7 (Obey, D) *
  

Democrat Favored (1 R, 19 D)

• CA 11 (McNerney, D)
  
• CO 3 (Salazar, D)
• CT 5 (Murphy, D)
  
• FL 22 (Klein, D) *
• IL 11 (Halvorson, D) *
• IN 2 (Donnelly, D) *
  
• LA 2 (Cao, R)
• NM 1 (Heinrich, D) *
  
• NY 13 (McMahon, D)
• NY 20 (Murphy, D)
• NY 23 (Owens, D) #
  
• NC 8 (Kissell, D)
• OH 13 (Sutton, D) *
• PA 3 (Dahlkemper, D) *
• PA 8 (Murphy, D) *
• PA 10 (Carney, D) *
• PA 17 (Holden, D)
• SD A-L (Herseth Sandlin, D)
• TX 17 (Edwards, D)
• WI 8 (Kagen, D)

Total seats in play: 79
Republican seats: 11
Democratic seats: 68

Dropped from the list:
MN 3 (Paulsen, R) *, MN 6 (Bachmann, R) *, OH 2 (Schmidt, R) *, CA 44 (Calvert, R) *, CA 47 (Sanchez, D) #, GA 8 (Marshall, D) #

New Print Edition: House Overview

Subscribers already have the April 9, 2010 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report, but here is an excerpt from the introduction to our House Overview issue:

House Outlook For 2010

Democrats now have an accomplishment with the passage of health care reform, but it’s far from clear that it dramatically enhances their prospects for the fall, as some of their officeholders and supporters argue.

Polling still shows the public dissatisfied with the country’s direction and with President Barack Obama’s performance, and as long as the national unemployment outlook doesn’t start to show significant improvement, Democratic prospects for November are poor.

Democrats will have the financial advantage in the fall, and their strategists will try to localize elections, (just as Republicans tried to do for a number of elections). But the atmospherics remain strongly behind the GOP, and major Republican House gains are extremely likely.

With 68 Democratic House seats at risk and only 11 Republican seats in play – to say nothing of national and districts-level survey data showing voters hesitant to support Democratic incumbents – it’s clear that the battleground is almost entirely on Democratic soil. Obviously, control of the House is at risk.

Subscribers get the rest of the overview, race-by-race analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as our ratings.

The print edition of the Report comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as updated House and Senate ratings, and coverage of the gubernatorial races. The print edition of the Report comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as updated House and Senate ratings, and coverage of the gubernatorial races nationwide. To subscribe, simply click on the Google checkout button on the website or send a check.

New Print Edition: Pennsylvania 12 & North Carolina Senate

Subscribers already have the March 26, 2010 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report, but here are the introductions to this edition's stories:


Pennsylvania 12: Today’s Special
By Nathan L. Gonzales

After two House special elections in New York and the Senate special in Massachusetts, political junkies and handicappers risk burn out. But with the death of long-time incumbent Cong. John Murtha (D), Democrats and Republicans a gearing up with one eye on the special election in Pennsylvania’s 12th District and the other eye on dozens of races across the country that are coming into play. Subscribers get the the lay of the land, candidate bios, consulting teams, and how it plays out.

North Carolina Senate: Rerun or Reelection?
By Nathan L. Gonzales

Democrats think they’ve seen this movie before and they like the ending. Two years ago, they took aim at an incumbent GOP senator who was struggling to get to 50% in the competitive state of North Carolina. Democrats didn’t have a big name candidate and sorted through a primary, but won the race in the end.

After defeating Elizabeth Dole in 2008, Democrats have Richard Burr (R) in their sights this year. But this is turning out to be a fundamentally different cycle, and Burr had the benefit of watching Dole go down to defeat and has the opportunity to avoid her mistakes. Subscribers get the lay of the land, candidate bios, and Democratic primary and general election analysis.

The print edition of the Report comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as updated House and Senate ratings, and coverage of the gubernatorial races. The print edition of the Report comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as updated House and Senate ratings, and coverage of the gubernatorial races nationwide. To subscribe, simply click on the Google checkout button on the website or send a check.

New Print Edition: Gubernatorial Outlook

The March 12, 2010 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. Here is a brief excerpt from this edition:


2010 Gubernatorial Outlook

While the national media focuses on the fight for control of Congress, there is plenty of action in this year’s gubernatorial contests. Four out of every five Americans will vote for governor this fall in 37 of the 50 states. While Democrats and Republicans want to win as many governorships as possible, a majority isn't worth more than a press release, and both sides are gunning for the big prizes such as California, Texas, Florida, New York, Ohio, and Pennsylvania.

Currently, 23 of the 37 races are open and have no sitting governor running in them, and by the time primaries play out in Arizona and Nevada, that number is likely to increase to 25 open races. Both parties are trying to reclaim states that are "theirs" based on normal partisan voting patterns and be in position for redistricting following the census. Third Party candidates not only have the potential to impact races in Minnesota and Vermont, but a legitimate path to victory in Rhode Island, Maine, and Massachusetts.

Subscribers to the print edition get a state-by-state analysis as well as recent polling in each race.

The print edition of the Report comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as updated House and Senate ratings, and coverage of the gubernatorial races. The print edition of the Report comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as updated House and Senate ratings, and coverage of the gubernatorial races nationwide. To subscribe, simply click on the Google checkout button on the website or send a check.

New Print Edition: Ohio Senate & West Virginia 1

Subscribers already have the March 1, 2010 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report. Here are the introductions to the full stories in this edition:


Ohio Senate: Bush League
By Nathan L. Gonzales

Democrats and Republicans envision former President George W. Bush being a factor in this year’s Ohio senate race, but in very different ways and with two different outcomes.

In the face of a deteriorating political climate, Democrats remain confident that they can use the Bush connections on likely GOP nominee Rob Portman’s resume to place the blame of the country’s economic situation firmly on the two Republicans’ shoulders. Meanwhile, Portman is trying to use Bush’s blueprint in order to win the Buckeye State just as the former president did twice.

Portman caught a break when his wealthy primary opponent dropped out leaving Democrats with a primary between Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher and Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner. Fisher is the favorite to hold the Democratic mantle in November.

Sen. George Voinovich did Republicans a favor by announcing his retirement early, but his seat remains one of GOP’s most difficult holds this year. Republicans are looking to close the door on Bush for good and a victory in Ohio could be the difference between a good night and a great night for national Republicans.


You can read the whole story by subscribing to the print edition of the Report.

West Virginia 1: Major Pain
By Nathan L. Gonzales

The voters of West Virginia’s 1st District have been sending a Mollohan to Congress for over three decades, but this year, Republicans are making a very serious run at breaking the streak.

Former state legislators David McKinley and Sarah Minear and others are battling for the GOP nomination and right to face incumbent Alan Mollohan (D) in November, though the congressman must get past state Sen. Mike Oliverio in the Democratic primary first.

Mollohan usually doesn’t raise a lot of money or start his campaign until late in the cycle, but unless he starts getting his act together, the fourteen-term Democratic incumbent could well lose a seat that has been in his family for two generations.


You can read the whole story by subscribing to the print edition of the Report

Subscribers to the print edition get a state-by-state analysis as well as recent polling in each race. The print edition of the Report comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as updated House and Senate ratings, and coverage of the gubernatorial races nationwide. To subscribe, simply click on the Google checkout button on the website or send a check.

New Print Edition: GOP to Gain 5-7 Senate Seats

The February 19, 2010 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. Here is a brief excerpt from this edition:

Senate Overview – The Lay of the Land

The likelihood of Democratic Senate gains evaporated over the summer and fall, and it is now the GOP that is headed for gains. Eight of the dozen most competitive Senate seats up this year are now held by Democrats, meaning that Republicans have plenty of opportunities for net gains. The retirements of Byron Dorgan and Evan Bayh, combined with Beau Biden’s decision not to run, has damaged Democratic prospects.

The possibility of a GOP blockbuster year has increased noticeably. It depends, at least in part, on Republicans holding onto all of their seats. A year ago, that looked almost impossible, but it is now quite possible. Primary contests could affect both parties’ prospects. Nasty, divisive primaries that produce weak or weakened nominees in Pennsylvania, Kentucky, Colorado, Nevada and/or Arkansas could have an impact on net GOP gains.

While events between now and November will affect the outlook for November, the GOP seems most likely to net 5-7 Senate seats, with a 8-seat gain certainly possible (but still short of the 10-seat gain the GOP would need for control). That means Democrats are likely to retain control of the Senate, but at a dramatically reduced level.

Subscribers to the print edition get a state-by-state analysis as well as recent polling in each race. The print edition of the Report comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as updated House and Senate ratings, and coverage of the gubernatorial races nationwide. To subscribe, simply click on the Google checkout button on the website or send a check.

Publishing Update

A note to our print subscribers: Due to the unusually large snowstorm, this week's edition of the newsletter (our latest 2010 Senate Overview) will be delayed until late next week. We expect to publish, on schedule, the following week as well. Thanks for reading!

New Print Edition: Hawaii 1 & Idaho 1

The January 29, 2010 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers.

The print edition of the Report comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as updated House and Senate ratings, and coverage of the gubernatorial races nationwide. To subscribe, simply click on the Google checkout button on the website or send a check.

Here is a brief excerpt from this edition:

Hawaii 1: As the World Turns
By Nathan L. Gonzales

After Scott Brown’s (R) shocking win in the Massachusetts’ Senate race, the political world is set to turn almost six thousand miles away to Hawaii’s 1st District, where the cycle’s next contest will be fought.

Democratic Cong. Neil Abercrombie plans to resign at the end of February in order to focus on his gubernatorial run, setting up what will likely be a May special election. Even though a firm date has not been set, the candidate field is starting to take shape, and the parties are prepping for what could be an unexpectedly high-profile contest.

The winner-take-all special allows Honolulu City Councilman Charles Djou (R) an opportunity to win with less than 50% of the vote as Democrats Colleen Hanabusa, former Cong. Ed Case and potentially other Democratic candidates battle for votes.

This is not a swing district, but the national and local dynamics could give Democrats an unneeded headache. Republicans have a great opportunity to take President Barack Obama’s former Senate seat in Illinois in November and now they’ve got a chance to take the congressional district where he was born. Subscribers get the lay of the land, candidate bios, and how it plays out.


Idaho 1: How the West is Won
By Nathan L. Gonzales

Walt Minnick was one of a number of Democrats swept into office in 2008, but the Idaho businessman is already planning to be a survivor in 2010, even if his party is buried nationally in a Republican wave.

Over the last year, Minnick, who represents an extremely GOP-friendly district in Idaho, has voted against virtually every piece of significant legislation pushed by Speaker Nancy Pelosi, but his record on high-profile votes may not be enough to hold the dam.

Republicans will likely nominate former CIA office and Iraq War veteran Vaughn Ward, a first-time candidate with under-whelming fundraising. But the Rocky Mountain West appears to be moving back in the GOP’s direction, so Minnick doesn’t have much room for error.

Like many of his vulnerable colleagues, Minnick’s task is to localize his race in the face of a nationalized election. But that’s easier said than done. Subscribers get the lay of the land, candidate bios, and how it plays out.

New Print Edition: Illinois Primaries & Ohio 15

The January 15, 2010 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers.

The print edition of the Report comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as updated House and Senate ratings, and coverage of the gubernatorial races nationwide. To subscribe, simply click on the Google checkout button on the website or send a check.

Here is a brief excerpt from this edition:

Illinois Primary: First in the Nation
By Nathan L. Gonzales

Off-year gubernatorial elections in New Jersey and Virginia and the Senate special election in Massachusetts have kept things exciting, but the 2010 elections officially begin early next month in the Land of Lincoln. With competitive races for governor and U.S. Senate and multiple House races, it’s a great place to start.

Subscribers to the print edition get a rundown of the senate and gubernatorial primaries as well as races in the 10th and 14th congressional districts.

Ohio 15: It’s Not 2008 Anymore
By Nathan L. Gonzales

The terrain is the same but the environment is very different in Ohio’s 15th District, where freshman Cong. Mary Jo Kilroy (D) and former state Senator Steve Stivers (R) will face off for the second consecutive election cycle.
Less than a percentage point separated the two candidates in 2008, and Kilroy got to Congress with the lowest winning percentage of any Democrat last cycle.

With Republicans positioned for significant gains in the House nationwide, Kilroy’s seat is in the first tier of seats to fall in a good Republican year. But Democrats are confident they have enough ammunition to take down Stivers once again. The question will be if voters are willing to listen.

Subscribers get the lay of the land, candidate bios, money information, and how it plays out.

2010 Back Issues

The following are past races covered in the print edition of The Rothenberg Political Report. Back issues are not sold individually and are not available online. Subscriptions are available via credit card on the website or by check. All subscriptions are delivered via regular U.S. mail.

July 30, 2010, Vol. 33, No. 15

North Dakota At-Large

New Hampshire Senate

July 19, 2010, Vol. 33, No. 14

2010 House Overview

July 2, 2010, Vol. 33, No. 13
2010 Gubernatorial Overview

June 18, 2010, Vol. 33, No. 12
Louisiana Senate & Virginia 2

June 11, 2010, Vol. 33, No. 11
Senate Overview

May 25, 2010, Vol. 33, No. 10
Pennsylvania 15: Difference of Opinion
Nevada 3: Welcome to Paradise

May 10, 2010, Vol. 33, No. 9
Nevada Senate: Know When to Fold'em
Indiana Senate: New Sheriff in Town?

April 23, 2010, Vol. 33, No. 8
Arkansas Senate: One Big (Not so happy) Family
South Carolina 5: Challenging the Chair

April 9, 2010, Vol. 33, No. 7
2010 House Overview

March 26, 2010, Vol. 33, No. 6
Pennsylvania 12: Today's Special
North Carolina Senate: Re-run or Reelection?

March 12, 2010, Vol. 33, No. 5
Governors Overview

March 1, 2010, Vol. 33, No. 4
Ohio Senate: Bush League
West Virginia 1: Major Pain

February 19, 2010, Vol. 33, No. 3
Senate Overview

January 29, 2010, Vol. 33, No. 2
Hawaii 1: As the World Turns
Idaho 1: How the West is Won

January 15, 2010, Vol. 33, No. 1
Illinois Primary: First in the Nationa
Ohio 15: It's Not 2008 Anymore
Report Shorts: MA Senate, CT Senate, ND Senate