Tuesday, September 23, 2008

2008 House Ratings

Here are our latest House ratings. Any seats not listed are currently considered to be at limited risk for the incumbent party. For our race-by-race analysis, you must subscribe to the print edition of the Report.

# = Moved benefiting Democrats
* = Moved benefiting Republicans
^ = Newly added

PURE TOSS-UP (8 R, 3 D)
  • AL 5 (Open; Cramer, D)
  • FL 8 (Keller, R) #
  • FL 24 (Feeney, R) #
  • MN 3 (Open; Ramstad, R)
  • NV 3 (Porter, R)
  • NH 1 (Shea-Porter, D)
  • NJ 7 (Open; Ferguson, R)
  • NM1 (Open; Wilson, R)
  • OH 15 (Open; Pryce, R)
  • OH 16 (Open; Regula, R)
  • PA 10 (Carney, D)
TOSS-UP/TILT REPUBLICAN (6 R, 1 D)
  • LA 4 (Open; McCrery, R)
  • LA 6 (Cazayoux, D)
  • NM 2 (Open; Pearce, R)
  • NY 26 (Open; Reynolds, R)
  • NY 29 (Kuhl, R)
  • NC 8 (Hayes, R)
  • WA 8 (Reichert, R)
TOSS-UP/TILT DEMOCRATIC (4 R, 6 D)
  • AZ 1 (Open; Renzi, R)
  • CA 11 (McNerney, D)
  • CO 4 (Musgrave, R) #
  • FL 16 (Mahoney, D)
  • GA 8 (Marshall, D)
  • IL 11 (Open; Weller, R)
  • KS 2 (Boyda, D)
  • NJ 3 (Open; Saxton, R)
  • PA 11 (Kanjorski, D)
  • WI 8 (Kagen, D)
LEAN REPUBLICAN (11 R, 1 D)
  • AL 2 (Open; Everett, R) #
  • CT 4 (Shays, R)
  • IL 10 (Kirk, R)
  • FL 21 (L. Diaz-Balart, R)
  • MI 7 (Walberg, R)
  • MI 9 (Knollenberg, R)
  • MO 6 (Graves, R)
  • OH 1 (Chabot, R)
  • OH 2 (Schmidt, R)
  • PA 3 (English, R)
  • TX 22 (Lampson, D)
  • VA 2 (Drake, R)
LEAN DEMOCRATIC (1 R, 5 D)
  • AZ 5 (Mitchell, D)
  • AZ 8 (Giffords, D)
  • KY 3 (Yarmuth, D)
  • OR 5 (Open; Hooley, D)
  • PA 4 (Altmire, D)
  • VA 11 (Open; Davis, R)
REPUBLICAN FAVORED (10 R, 0 D)
  • CA 4 (Open; Doolittle, R)
  • FL 13 (Buchanan, R)
  • FL 25 (M. Diaz-Balart, R)
  • ID 1 (Sali, R)
  • IL 6 (Roskam, R)
  • MD 1 (Open; Gilchrest, R) ^
  • MN 6 (Bachmann, R)
  • MO 9 (Open; Hulshof, R)
  • PA 6 (Gerlach, R)
  • WV 2 (Capito, R)
DEMOCRAT FAVORED (2 R, 6 D)
  • AK A-L (Young, R) #
  • IL 14 (Foster, D)
  • IN 9 (Hill, D)
  • KS 3 (Moore, D)
  • MN 1 (Walz, D)
  • MS 1 (Childers, D)
  • NY 13 (Open; Fossella, R)
  • NY 20 (Gillibrand, D)
  • NY 25 (Open; Walsh, R)