Sunday, September 28, 2008

New Print Edition: Senate Outlook & House Ratings

The September 26, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks (even more frequently as Election Day approaches) and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and Senate ratings, and coverage of the gubernatorial races nationwide. To subscribe, simply click on the Google checkout button on the website or send a check.

Here is a brief sample of what's in this edition...


Senate Overview – The Lay of the Land


After a brief bounce that made Republicans hopeful about their prospects, public and private polling has soured some for the GOP. Republican enthusiasm following the Palin pick seems to have faded, and voters are tending to blame the nation’s financial crisis on Republicans.

Republican Senate seats in Virginia and New Mexico clearly favor Democrats, and Republican candidates continue to trail in New Hampshire and Colorado. Elizabeth Dole (North Carolina) and Gordon Smith (Oregon) also look to be even or behind. Maine’s Susan Collins continues to defy the odds and remain in good shape, while Senate races in Minnesota and Mississippi remain very competitive. On the Democratic side, only Louisiana Sen. Mary Landrieu is at risk, though she remains ahead in polling and has a narrow advantage. Democrats will gain Senate seats in November – and are raising our current estimate from 4-6 seats to 5-8 seats.

Subscribers to the print edition also get updated analysis and polling on the competitive Senate races, our new House ratings, and updated analysis and polling in ten House races.