2006 House Ratings

2006 Rothenberg Political Report
House Ratings

For race-by-race analysis and explanation of the ratings, you must be a subscriber to the print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report. For a subscription form, click here. Current Rothenberg Political Report projection: Democratic gain of 18-25 seats, though we think that a significantly larger Democratic gain, in excess of 30 seats, is quite possible. (Democrats need to net 15 seats for a majority.)

PURE TOSS-UP (15 R, 0 D)

• CT 2 (Simmons, R)
• CT 4 (Shays, R)
• CT 5 (Johnson, R)
• FL13 (Open; Harris, R)
• FL 22 (Shaw, R)
• IL 6 (Open; Hyde, R)
• KY 4 (Davis, R)
• MN 6 (Open; Kennedy, R)
• NM 1 (Wilson, R)
• NC 11 (Taylor, R)
• NY 26 (Reynolds, R)
• OH 1 (Chabot, R)
• PA 6 (Gerlach, R)
• VA 2 (Drake, R)
• WI 8 (Open; Green, R)

TOSS-UP/TILT REPUBLICAN (3 R, 0 D)

• NV 3 (Porter, R)
• PA 8 (Fitzpatrick, R)
• WA 8 (Reichert, R)

TOSS-UP/TILT DEMOCRATIC (8 R, 4 D)

• FL 16 (Open; Foley, R)
• GA 8 (Marshall, D)
• GA 12 (Barrow, D)
• IL 8 (Bean, D)
• IN 9 (Sodrel, R)
• IA 3 (Boswell, D)
• NY 24 (Open; Boehlert, R)
• OH 15 (Pryce, R)
• OH 18 (Open; Ney, R)
• PA 7 (Weldon, R)
• PA 10 (Sherwood, R)
• TX 22 (Open; DeLay, R)

LEAN REPUBLICAN (12 R, 0 D)

• AZ 5 (Hayworth, R)
• CA 4 (Doolittle, R)
• CA 11 (Pombo, R)
• CO 4 (Musgrave, R)
• ID 1 (Open; Otter, R)
• KY 3 (Northup, R)
• MN 1 (Gutknecht, R)
• NY 20 (Sweeney, R)
• NY 25 (Walsh, R)
• NY 29 (Kuhl, R)
• OH 2 (Schmidt, R)
• TX 23 (Bonilla, R)

LEAN DEMOCRATIC (3 R, 0 D)

• IA 1 (Open; Nussle, R)
• IN 2 (Chocola, R)
• IN 8 (Hostettler, R)

REPUBLICAN FAVORED (12 R, 0 D)

• AZ 1 (Renzi, R)
• CA 50 (Bilbray, R)
  
• CO 5 (Open; Hefley, R)
• KY 2 (Lewis, R)
  
• NV 2 (Open; Gibbons, R)
• NH 2 (Bass, R)
• NJ 7 (Ferguson, R)
• NY 3 (King, R)
• NY 19 (Kelly, R)
• OH 12 (Tiberi, R)
  
• PA 4 (Hart, R)
• WY AL (Cubin, R)

DEMOCRAT FAVORED (2 R, 1 D)

• AZ 8 (Open; Kolbe, R)
• CO 7 (Open; Beauprez, R)
• VT A-L (Open; Sanders, D)