NY 29 Moved to Toss-Up
Cong. Eric Massa's (D) retirement creates another open seat opportunity for Republicans. Massa was headed for a competitive race this year, but without him, New York's 29th District is considerably more vulnerable for the Democrats.
Sen. John McCain won the district 51%-48% in 2008 and George W. Bush won it twice by at least 10 points. Former Corning Mayor Tom Reed has been the likely GOP nominee to this point. We'll see who the Democrats get to replace Massa, but we're moving the race from Lean Democratic to Toss-Up.
Here are our latest House ratings.
#- Moved benefiting Democrats
* - Moved benefiting Republicans
Pure Toss-Up (1 R, 10 D)
- AR 1 (Open; Berry, D)
- AR 2 (Open; Snyder, D)
- CO 4 (Markey, D)
- IL 10 (Open; Kirk, R)
- MI 7 (Schauer, D)
- NH 1 (Shea-Porter, D)
- NH 2 (Open; Hodes, D)
- NY 29 (Open; Massa, D) *
- PA 7 (Open; Sestak, D)
- TN 8 (Open; Tanner, D)
- WA 3 (Open; Baird, D)
Toss-Up/Tilt Republican (0 R, 10 D)
- AL 2 (Bright, D)
- FL 8 (Grayson, D)
- ID 1 (Minnick, D)
- KS 3 (Open; Moore, D)
- MD 1 (Kratovil, D)
- MS 1 (Childers, D)
- NM 2 (Teague, D)
- OH 1 (Driehaus, D)
- OH 15 (Kilroy, D)
- VA 5 (Perriello, D)
Lean Republican (3 R, 2 D)
- CA 3 (Lungren, R)
- LA 3 (Open; Melancon, D)
- PA 6 (Gerlach, R)
- TN 6 (Open; Gordon, D)
- WA 8 (Reichert, R)
Republican Favored (8 R, 0 D)
- CA 44 (Calvert, R)
- CA 45 (Bono Mack, R)
- MN 3 (Paulsen, R)
- MN 6 (Bachmann, R)
- NE 2 (Terry, R)
- OH 2 (Schmidt, R)
- OH 12 (Tiberi, R)
- PA 15 (Dent, R)
Toss-Up/Tilt Democratic (0 R, 3 D)
- FL 24 (Kosmas, D)
- IL 14 (Foster, D)
- VA 2 (Nye, D)
Lean Democratic (0 R, 10 D)
- HI 1 (Open; Abercrombie, D) Special Election
- IN 9 (Hill, D)
- MO 4 (Skelton, D)
- NV 3 (Titus, D)
- NY 1 (Bishop, D)
- NY 19 (Hall, D)
- NY 23 (Owens, D)
- NY 24 (Arcuri, D)
- SC 5 (Spratt, D)
- WV 1 (Mollohan, D)
Democrat Favored (2 R, 23 D)
- AZ 5 (Mitchell, D)
- AZ 8 (Giffords, D)
- CO 3 (Salazar, D)
- CA 11 (McNerney, D)
- CA 47 (Sanchez, D)
- CT 5 (Murphy, D)
- DE A-L (Open; Castle, R)
- GA 8 (Marshall, D)
- IA 3 (Boswell, D)
- LA 2 (Cao, R)
- NY 13 (McMahon, D)
- NY 20 (Murphy, D)
- NC 8 (Kissell, D)
- ND A-L (Pomeroy, D)
- NJ 3 (Adler, D)
- OH 16 (Boccieri, D)
- OH 18 (Space, D)
- PA 4 (Altmire, D)
- PA 8 (Murphy, D)
- PA 10 (Carney, D)
- PA 11 (Kanjorski, D)
- PA 12 (Open; Murtha, D) Special Election
- PA 17 (Holden, D)
- SD A-L (Herseth Sandlin, D)
- TX 17 (Edwards, D)
- VA 9 (Boucher, D)
- WI 8 (Kagen, D)
Republican seats: 14
Democratic seats: 60
