Wednesday, March 03, 2010

TX Governor Moved to Narrow Advantage for Perry

Texas Gov. Rick Perry (R) ran a great campaign in order to avoid a primary runoff against U.S. Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison. But running for a third full-term is rarely easy for any governor and Perry's 2006 reelection with 39% of the vote (in a multi-candidate race) was under-whelming. Former Houston Mayor Bill White (D) will have to run a perfect campaign to overcome Democrats' statewide troubles, but he starts the general election with an opportunity to do so. Move from Clear Advantage to Narrow Advantage.

Next week, subscribers to the print edition will get our Gubernatorial Overview with new ratings and analysis of all 37 of this year's contests.

Here are our latest gubernatorial ratings.
# - Moved benefiting Democrats
* - Moved benefiting Republicans

Lean Takeover (6 R, 7 D)
  • Brewer (R-AZ)
  • CA Open (Schwarzenegger, R)
  • CT Open (Rell, R)
  • HI Open (Lingle, R)
  • RI Open (Carcieri, R)
  • VT Open (Douglas, R)
  • Culver (D-IA)
  • KS Open (Parkinson, D)
  • MI Open (Granholm, D)
  • OK Open (Henry, D)
  • PA Open (Rendell, D)
  • TN Open (Bredesen, D)
  • WY Open (Freudenthal, D)
Toss-Up (2 R, 4 D)
  • FL Open (Crist, R)
  • MN Open (Pawlenty, R)
  • CO Open (Ritter, D)
  • Quinn (D-IL)
  • Strickland (D-OH)
  • WI Open (Doyle, D)
Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party (3 R, 2 D)
  • Gibbons (R-NV)
  • Perry (R-TX) #
  • GA Open (Perdue, R)
  • Patrick (D-MA)
  • ME Open (Baldacci, D)
Clear Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R, 2 D)
  • AL Open (Riley, R)
  • SC Open (Sanford, R)
  • NM Open (Richardson, D)
  • NY Open (Paterson, D)
Currently Safe (5 R, 4 D)
  • Herbert (R-UT)
  • Heineman (R-NE)
  • Otter (R-ID)
  • Parnell (R-AK)
  • SD Open (Rounds, R)
  • Beebe (D-AR)
  • Lynch (D-NH)
  • O'Malley (D-MD)
  • OR Open (Kulongoski, D)