KS 3 Moved to Toss-Up
Kansas Cong. Dennis Moore's surprise announcement that he would not seek reelection next year creates an instant headache for the Democrats. Barack Obama won the 3rd District 51%-48% in 2008, but Republicans are going to be running very strong at the top of the ticket next year (in races for governor and the U.S. Senate) and Democrats will have difficulty holding onto a seat that Moore made to look safer than it really is. The candidate fields are far from settled, but for now, the seat vaults from Currently Safe to Toss-Up.
Here are our latest House ratings.
#- Moved benefiting Democrats
* - Moved benefiting Republicans
Pure Toss-Up (2 R, 14 D)
- AL 2 (Bright, D)
- FL 8 (Grayson, D)
- ID 1 (Minnick, D)
- IL 10 (Open; Kirk, R)
- KS 3 (Open; Moore, D) *
- MD 1 (Kratovil, D)
- MS 1 (Childers, D)
- NH 1 (Shea-Porter, D)
- NH 2 (Open; Hodes, D)
- NM 2 (Teague, D)
- NY 23 (Owens, D)
- OH 1 (Driehaus, D)
- OH 15 (Kilroy, D)
- PA 6 (Open; Gerlach, R)
- PA 7 (Open; Sestak, D)
- VA 5 (Periello, D)
Toss-Up/Tilt Republican (1 R, 1 D)
- LA 3 (Open; Melancon, D)
- WA 8 (Reichert, R)
Toss-Up/Tilt Democratic (0 R, 4 D)
- CO 4 (Markey, D)
- FL 24 (Kosmas, D)
- IL 14 (Foster, D)
- MI 7 (Schauer, D)
Lean Republican (2 R, 0 D)
- CA 3 (Lungren, R)
- CA 44 (Calvert, R)
Lean Democratic (0 R, 3 D)
- AL 5 (Griffith, D)
- NY 24 (Arcuri, D)
- NY 29 (Massa, D)
- AK A-L (Young, R)
- CA 45 (Bono Mack, R)
- MI 11 (McCotter, R)
- MN 3 (Paulsen, R)
- MN 6 (Bachmann, R)
- NE 2 (Terry, R)
- OH 2 (Schmidt, R)
- OH 12 (Tiberi, R)
- PA 15 (Dent, R)
Democrat Favored (2 R, 11 D)
- AZ 5 (Mitchell, D)
- CA 47 (Sanchez, D)
- DE A-L (Open; Castle, R)
- GA 8 (Marshall, D)
- LA 2 (Cao, R)
- MO 4 (Skelton, D)
- NY 19 (Hall, D)
- NY 20 (Murphy, D)
- NC 8 (Kissell, D)
- OH 18 (Space, D)
- PA 10 (Carney, D)
- TX 17 (Edwards, D)
- VA 2 (Nye, D)
Republican seats: 16
Democratic seats: 33
