PA Senate Moved to Toss-Up

Democrats are headed for a primary war between Sen. Arlen Specter (D) and Cong. Joe Sestak (D) while former Cong. Pat Toomey (R) awaits the winner. Earlier in the year, many people weren't giving Toomey a shot at winning statewide, but he could benefit from the Democratic primary and a potentially favorable political environment and is now running even in general election polls. We're moving the Pennsylvania Senate race from Narrow Advantage for the Incumbent Party to Toss-Up.

Here are our latest Senate ratings.
#- Moved benefiting Democrats
*- Moved benefiting Republicans

Lean Takeover (0 R, 1 D)

• DE Open (Kaufman, D)

Toss-Up (4 R, 4 D)

• KY Open (Bunning, R)
  
• MO Open (Bond, R)
• NH Open (Gregg, R)
• OH Open (Voinovich, R)
• IL Open (Burris, D)
• Dodd (D-CT)
• Reid (D-NV)
• Specter (D-PA) *
  

Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R, 2 D)

• Burr (R-NC)
• Vitter (R-LA)
• Bennet (D-CO)
• Lincoln (D-AR)
  

Clear Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R, 0 D)

• Grassley (R-IA)
• FL Open (LeMieux, R)

Currently Safe (10 R, 12 D)

• Bennett (R-UT)
• Coburn (R-OK)
• Crapo (R-ID)
• DeMint (R-SC)
• Isakson (R-GA)
• McCain (R-AZ)
• Murkowski (R-AK)
• Shelby (R-AL)
• Thune (R-SD)
• KS Open (Brownback, R)
• Bayh (D-IN)
• Boxer (D-CA)
• Dorgan (D-ND)
• Feingold (D-WI)
• Gillibrand (D-NY)
• Inouye (D-HI)
• Leahy (D-VT)
• Mikulski (D-MD)
• Murray (D-WA)
• Schumer (D-NY)
• Wyden (D-OR)
• MA Open (Kirk, D)