New York 23 Remains a Toss-Up
Bill Owens' victory in New York's 23rd was the good news for Democrats this week and continued the party's winning streak in competitive House special elections. But the dynamic that helped Owens win- including a divided Republican Party- can't be ignored and aren't likely to be replicated again. For now, his reelection next year is a Pure Toss-Up.
Here are our latest House ratings.
#- Moved benefiting Democrats
* - Moved benefiting Republicans
Pure Toss-Up (2 R, 13 D)
- AL 2 (Bright, D)
- FL 8 (Grayson, D)
- ID 1 (Minnick, D)
- IL 10 (Open; Kirk, R)
- MD 1 (Kratovil, D)
- MS 1 (Childers, D)
- NH 1 (Shea-Porter, D)
- NH 2 (Open; Hodes, D)
- NM 2 (Teague, D)
- NY 23 (Owens, D)
- OH 1 (Driehaus, D)
- OH 15 (Kilroy, D)
- PA 6 (Open; Gerlach, R)
- PA 7 (Open; Sestak, D)
- VA 5 (Periello, D)
Toss-Up/Tilt Republican (1 R, 1 D)
- LA 3 (Open; Melancon, D)
- WA 8 (Reichert, R)
Toss-Up/Tilt Democratic (0 R, 4 D)
- CO 4 (Markey, D)
- FL 24 (Kosmas, D)
- IL 14 (Foster, D)
- MI 7 (Schauer, D)
Lean Republican (2 R, 0 D)
- CA 3 (Lungren, R)
- CA 44 (Calvert, R)
Lean Democratic (0 R, 3 D)
- AL 5 (Griffith, D)
- NY 24 (Arcuri, D)
- NY 29 (Massa, D)
- AK A-L (Young, R)
- CA 45 (Bono Mack, R)
- MI 11 (McCotter, R)
- MN 3 (Paulsen, R)
- MN 6 (Bachmann, R)
- NE 2 (Terry, R)
- OH 2 (Schmidt, R)
- OH 12 (Tiberi, R)
- PA 15 (Dent, R)
Democrat Favored (2 R, 11 D)
- AZ 5 (Mitchell, D)
- CA 47 (Sanchez, D)
- DE A-L (Open; Castle, R)
- GA 8 (Marshall, D)
- LA 2 (Cao, R)
- MO 4 (Skelton, D)
- NY 19 (Hall, D)
- NY 20 (Murphy, D)
- NC 8 (Kissell, D)
- OH 18 (Space, D)
- PA 10 (Carney, D)
- TX 17 (Edwards, D)
- VA 2 (Nye, D)
Republican seats: 16
Democratic seats: 32
